You must pay me to be good

From today’s Open Europe news summary:

El País reports that Spain, France and Italy are wary of German plans to introduce binding ‘reform contracts’ between the European Commission and eurozone countries – and want these contracts to explicitly envisage some form of ‘compensation’ in return for the reform effort. El País Expansión El Mundo

spoiled1Apparently accepting responsibility requires compensation, like a child who demands to be paid for being good. I have a better ideal.  Why doesn’t Germany tell the Spanish, French, and Italians “Auf Wiedersehen!” and leave the EU altogether? Folks, you just can’t make this stuff up.  Patrick Barron

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Why the Fed will NEVER end Quantitative Easing

Re: Fed likely to delay taper after disappointing US jobs data

dOGThe Fed will NEVER end its Quantitative Easing program much less “taper” it slightly.  The Fed’s QE policy itself causes malinvestment in the structure of production, which leads to higher unemployment, among other evils.  But the Fed believes that the very evils it causes require even more credit expansion, so it continues to pump reserves into a banking system already awash with excess reserves of $2.3 trillion (as of Oct 16, 2013, obtained from its own reports).  So the Fed’s justification for continuing QE is the result of its own QE policy!  The American economy is right back in a bubble similar to that of ten years ago, only this time the economic data is worse, because the economy has had even more credit expansion poison.  The longer the Fed continues QE the worse the malinvestment and the worse will be the inevitable and necessary recession/depression to cleanse the system.  The real economy is getting further and further away from its sustainable structure of production, which only can be attained by the investment of real savings and capital accumulation in an economy with honest and not phony money.

Patrick Barron

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Germany’s Merkel wants the EU to control national budgets

From today’s Open Europe news summary:

stuff1Spiegel: Merkel demands EU Treaty change to give Commission control over national budgets Der Spiegel reports that, in a meeting with EU Council President Herman Van Rompuy last week, German Chancellor Angela Merkel set out her proposals for giving the EU greater powers over eurozone members’ national budgets, a move which would require EU Treaty change. Merkel will reportedly insist on legally enforceable contracts between the Commission and individual member states, setting out their obligations for maintaining budgetary discipline and improved competitiveness. In return, Germany could agree to a eurozone budget which would amount to tens of billions. Finally, the President of the Eurogroup would become a “Euro Finance Minister”.
Spiegel Online cites Axel Schäfer, deputy-chair of the SPD’s parliamentary group as saying that “the SPD will not support any settlements if Merkel conducts parallel negotiations with Britain’s David Cameron over the transfer of EU competences back to member states.” Schäfer also warns that the SPD will not support an EU Treaty changes that trigger referenda in individual member states. Open Europe research: What to expect after the German elections Spiegel Spiegel 2 DWN Irish Times

What national government would ever agree to such a contract or honor it if it did?  Merkel has shown the true colors of the euro-federalists; i.e., that the nation state must subordinate itself to an unelected supranational body, in effect a dictatorship of foreigners.  As long as the EU exists the national governments will continue to raid the EU treasury, and they will NOT accept orders from Brussels and most certainly not from Berlin.  Merkel should mind her own business, set a good example (which Germany HAS been doing!), and leave the rest of Europe alone.  Germany should get out of the EU, open its borders to free trade, and reinstate the deutschmark.  THIS is the way to lead!

Patrick Barron

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Fed’s QE policy threatens the dollar’s future as a reserve currency

1004-weak-dollar_full_600See my comments throughout this four and a half minute report by the Australian Broadcasting Corporation about the dollar’s future as a reserve currency.
Patrick Barron
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China and Gold

China and Gold, by Alasdair Macleod

China moneyRather than some conspiracy to destroy America via the dollar, one should see China’s actions as an act of rational self-interest.  China was very happy to accumulate over a trillion US dollar reserves, but now it rightly sees that Quantitative Easing to Infinity means the ultimate destruction of the dollar.  Alasdair Macleod explains China’s actions in the link above.

There is still time for the US and the West to regain financial supremacy by tying their currencies to their still huge gold reserves.  The West’s advantage is the rule of law; i.e., that one may actually demand specie for a gold-backed dollar or deutschemark (should Germany wake up and act rationally to protect itself from the European inflationists).  One would never be certain that such a demand to the Bank of China or the Russian central bank would be honored.  Without confidence in its redeemability, any gold-backed currency is little better than a fiat currency.  Patrick Barron

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What’s Next in the Austro-Libertarian Movement

mmckay-blue-shirt-unfocused-img_2011By Michael McKay 

I remember in 2005 talking to a money manager who formerly had been in charge of a $200 Million dollar bond portfolio for a large mid-west bank. Somehow our conversation got onto the Federal Reserve and somehow I brought up the fact that banks, through credit expansion (otherwise known as fractional reserve banking), create money out of thin air.

This manager did not believe me when I explained the fractional reserve banking process – and she was incredulous.

I was so taken aback that it seemed surreal to me. I could not believe she – who worked at a high level in a bank – was so clueless as to not understand one of the basic underpinnings of how our centrally controlled banking system works.

I shouldn’t have been so completely surprised. Years earlier I had been with a big time money manager in New York where the same thing occurred, but I had written that off since he was a private trader, not a significant functionary of a BANK. My 2005 money manager should have known better, or so I thought. At the very least she should not have been so aghast, so oblivious.

This event in 2005 really affected me. I had been active in libertarianism efforts for some time. But the stark ignorance of such a basic reality of how money works in the current banking system – by a banker – that threw me.

In 2007 on the campus of the University of Michigan, then Presidential Candidate Ron Paul said three important words during his speech, “End The Fed”. The crowd at U of M’s Central Campus erupted. They began to chant in unison, “End The Fed, End The Fed”. Ron Paul later recounted that he was surprised that so many understood the problem with the Federal Reserve. 

Mass Ignorance was melting – and this was new to Dr. Paul who had been banging this drum for 30+ years! 

During that 2007 campaign Dr. Paul took a lot of heat for attacking the Fed. Up until that time the Fed was merely some shadowy creature that very few people – shockingly including financial professionals – understood. 

But now this was changing. 

Fast forward to today and there still exists a massive amount of systemic ignorance. But the absolute dark absence of understanding has shifted toward the light of knowledge. Those of us who have been watching this closely for a long time can see the shift.

While most financial professionals still cannot explain our money system in a proper Austrian Economic outline, there are fewer and fewer I come across who are oblivious to the fact that banks indeed do print money out of thin air and Central Banks are a key problem. 

In 2008 and 2009 the Fractional Reserve system nearly collapsed. It was shored up with more of its own toxic lumber. It was exactly like putting more drugs in the veins of a drug addict. And, as we Austrians know, the slow-kill stays in motion yet today.

Before 2007-2009 most people could not believe the shocking fact that Fractional Reserve Banking was a real thing. My early presentations were rebuffed with the hilarious statement, “They would never let such a system exist” (to which I would point out that “They” not only created that system but were dependent on it).

Now, a greater number know that Fractional Reserve Banking is unfortunately true and real.

By my evaluation 2010 through 2012 has inspired a world wide shift toward competing currencies. The US Dollar, which only a few years ago was the de facto reserve currency of world trade, has slipped from being the primary Unit of Settlement in most world trade. Today, China, Brazil, Japan and a growing list of other countries do not use the US$ as their de facto Unit of Settlement and this movement is growing (meaning the US$ is slipping further).

Furthermore, the International Monetary Fund’s Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) have reduced their dependency on the US Dollar by reducing its part in their “bucket of currencies” from 65% US$ only a few years ago to about 40% today.

What this all points to is that Central Control of Money is in retreat. 

Retreat? How can I say that when we see an even increasing grip of Central Control just about everywhere? I have three answers: 

1.      Only those of us alert enough to the systems details see what is really happening. We see currency controls tightening – who else watches this? Not the guy who runs my local deli; not your normal stock broker, either. 

Those of us who are alert to what is happening need to see the increasing desperateness of the Central Controllers as a good thing. They have no choice but to increase the one thing they know how to do – apply stronger Central Control. Eventually, I believe, this will be felt as intolerable to the ground level population and then change will (or at least can) occur. Of course, I could be wrong and all instincts of Property and Freedom could be bred out of us but I think that human nature will not let that happen without a fight or revolt.

2.      Central Controllers are discrediting themselves right and left (pun very much intended). The recent whipsaw in signals from the Federal Reserve to “taper” or not discredited the Fed. Obama’s nearly successful attempt to “significantly attack Syria” deeply damaged his image as the “Bringer of the Peace”. 

3.      The Basics of Austrian Economic Understanding are – here and there – appearing in the media, albeit nascently. Socialism is coming to be understood as a system of consumption, not production. More and more people are realizing that credit lines are 1234not the same thing as cash flow. Due to the excellent efforts of Austrian Economic Scholars, significantly led by Dr. Hans-Hermann Hoppe, it is now more appreciated that Property is the key right upon which all other rights depend (Please see Dr. Hoppe’s The Economics and Ethics of Private Property as an excellent starting point on this avenue of scholarship).

Boundaries of orderProfessor Butler Schaffer’s vision of a “more horizontal” voluntary-based social fabric is coming into focus and replacing the old, tired vertical hierarchical structure that has finally bore its most obvious and inevitable fruit – a noticeably aggressive and growing tyranny. For anyone awake, we see full blown tyranny right around the corner (Please see Dr. Butler’s excellent book, Boundaries of Order, for more on this point).

So what is next in the Austro-Libertarian Movement?

Property and FreedomRecently, I had the privilege to again attend the annual meeting of Dr. Hoppe’s Property and Freedom Society in Bodrum, Turkey. There he gathers thinkers, scholars, activists and supporters from around the world who, over the course of five marvelous days, deeply discussed this very question.

In fact, I found it to be the key focal point throughout many conversations I had in my days there. 

The answer was not found in the debate themselves, whether the topic was Bitcoin or Expatriation but rather that there was so much ground level activism all over the world. Some, like Dr. Thorsten Polleit of Germany are world class scholars that focus on the Monetary System systemically. Others, like Roman Skaskiw, were more focused on Bitcoin as a harbinger of social change. Joakim Fagerstrom and Joakim Kampe of Mises-Sweden have been focused on education and media penetration. In Switzerland, Thomas Jacob has been working on creating a new gold coin Swiss Franc that would be a side-by-side alternative legal tender. 

There is a growing world wide activism and networking that is spontaneously taking hold and accelerating; this is very inspiring. 

Now, thanks to the roots established by Lew Rockwell and the host of dedicated scholars and staff at Mises.org in Auburn, Alabama, there exists Austrian Economic and Austro-Libertarian activism that is happening in a horizontal, decentralized way, all over the globe today. 

Dr. David Howden, who teaches Austrian Economics at St Louis University Madrid, Spain, is helping to organize a Canadian Austrian Scholars Conference in Toronto that will be held in November 2013.

Last summer, there was for young students, a Mises Summer School in the Netherlands put on by Frank Karsten and Jeroen de Witt of Mises Netherlands. 

In London, Andy Curzon is currently organizing an “Interim Property Freedom Society” meeting hopefully for this December. Andy envisions a Mises.org-type organization focused on the UK.

Everywhere I look in Sweden, Hong Kong, Germany, Brazil, Lithuania, Switzerland, Ecuador, Poland– and in Vienna, Austria as well – the Austro-Libertarian Movement is growing.

What is next is very much like the Banyan Tree, that strange tree I first saw in Hawaii, where the branches send down root-growth that then penetrates the ground below and becomes part of the overall root structure. 

Over time, each Branch-Root becomes indistinguishable from the initial, original trunk. This way the tree branches out and becomes more stable as it grows.

Standing under a Banyan Tree is a little like standing in an invincible forest.

Our Austro-Libertarian tree honors its trunk – in this case Mises.org, Auburn, for making all of our efforts more stable and more influential. 

This is just in time. People around the world, increasingly, are becoming aware where they want to escape from.

They urgently need to have a clear understanding of where they need to move to.  Otherwise, they will simply re-create the same mess again.

Now, for us, we only need to nurture each others efforts. We’ve got the goods to show people where to focus. Activism together with Networking is our key paradigm to push right now.

Activism in small forms, like simply speaking up, lending a book, or supporting one another to learn, or attending an online Mises Academy course, or Tom Wood’s Liberty Classroom, or sponsoring a learning event in your home, town or city.  Anything and everything helps – and works!

Activism + Networking = Rapid Expansion of the Austro-Libertarian Movement.

This is what is next.

banyan-tree

Mises Sites From Around the World:

Brazil Canada Columbia Czech Republic Ecuador Estonia Finland Germany Israel Italy Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia South Africa Sweden Switzerland United States Ukraine Lithuania

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My letter to National Review re:Structural flaws doom the EU and the euro

Dream RealityDear Sirs:
I read with delight Daniel Hannan’s review of Luuk van Middelar’s The Passage to Europe: How a Continent Became a Union.  However, I disagree with Mr. Hannan’s statement that “the EU is in the mess it’s in” because “as time passes, government agencies tend to be taken over by dullards and mediocrities.”  On the contrary, government does NOT go astray due to dullards and mediocrities but by men of ambition who wish to distinguish themselves by ruling over their fellow men.  Abraham Lincoln very clearly addressed this issue in his speech to the Young Men’s Lyceum of Springfield, Illinois on January 27, 1838.  As Mr. Hannan explained, the goals of the EU had been achieved over twenty years ago.  A new European war among the Western European nations was unthinkable by the early 1960’s and the threat of war with a monolith communist empire was removed when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1989.  By the early 1990’s the EU had achieved its main goal of economic integration via free trade.  But that is not enough for men of ambition.  From the beginning those like De Gaulle who favored economic integration and the maintenance of the traditional nation state were challenged by men who foolishly desired political integration.  They have insinuated themselves into positions of power and now run roughshod over the supposedly free citizens of Europe, who now find that there is no rule of law or consent of the governed.  As for the euro, it was doomed from the very beginning, as explained by Dr. Philipp Bagus of King Juan Carlos University in Madrid in his book The Tragedy of the Euro. , which I reviewed for the Ludwig von Mises Institute.  The economic law of the “tragedy of the commons”, thus the book’s title, explains what Dr. Bagus calls the euro’s “misconstruction”.  It is a commonly held resource that will be plundered to extinction.  There is no power on earth that can prevent the euro from collapsing, because its construction violates economic law.

The EU itself is now unnecessary.  There is nothing that a nation can gain from the EU that it cannot attain by simply declaring itself to be a free trade nation.  Statesmen must explain to their constituents that unilateral free trade is a benefit to all, EVEN IF IT IS NOT RECIPROCATED.  All such a nation needs to do is mind its own business and set a good example.  Its freedom and prosperity will win the day.  The EU’s immediate post war goals of peace and prosperity will be achieved by such sovereign nations without the need of treaties, men of ambition, or bureaucrats.  Patrick Barron

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Greek government refuses to economize

Re: New cuts not possible, Greek prime minister tells euro area official

IgnoringHere’s another example of why Europe will NOT resolve its debt crisis.  There is no enforcement mechanism that would require deficit countries to economize.  The Greek government is more concerned about its own electoral success than solving the nation’s financial problems. This simple fact will always prevail.  When faced with the choice of remaining in office or actually doing something constructive that might threaten the party at the polls, the governments of the deficit nations will always choose remaining in office and thumbing their noses at their creditors. This article also clearly states that the European Central Bank holds sovereign debt, which was explicitly prohibited by the Maastricht Treaty.  It is time for responsible countries like Germany to recognize that the EU they thought they were joining does not exist.  Germany would not be leaving the EU, because there is no EU, just a group of debtors trying to convince Germans and others to put them on international welfare forever.  Patrick Barron

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How to get an EU bailout

From today’s Open Europe news summary:

In an interview with the FT, Finnish Prime Minister Jyrki Katainen refused to rule out supporting further eurozone bailouts if the situation was “hopeless” and insisted he remained “pragmatic” on the issue. FT

Las-Vegas-REO-Banker-CartoonSo, all a member of the EU needs in order to secure a bailout is to make itself hopelessly insolvent.  NO PROBLEM!  This is the fatal flaw in all welfare programs, whether they apply to individuals or entire nations; i.e., the welfare recipient himself has complete control over the process.  He can easily place himself in a hopeless position or, as is the case for both individuals and nations, falsely claim that he is hopeless.

Hopelessly disgusted,

Patrick Barron

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Putting welfare for farmers in perspective

farm-subsidiesThe USDA budget for 2012 was $145 billion.  That’s $500 for every man, woman, and child in America. This is a quote from the Environmental Protection Agency’s website:

“There are over 313,000,000 people living in the United  States. Of that population, less than 1% claim farming as an occupation (and  about 2% actually live on farms). In 2007, only 45% of farmers claimed farming  as their principal occupation and a similar number of farmers claiming some  other principal occupation. The number of farms in the U.S. stands at about 2.2 million.”

So, assuming that 1% of the US population claims farming as an occupation, but only 45% claim farming as their principal occupation, means that the US has 700,000 full time farmers.  Dividing the USDA budget by that number means that the average annual taxpayer cost per full time farmer in the US is over $200,000. Dividing the USDA’s budget by 2.2 million farms means that the average farm costs the taxpayer $66,000 per year.  This means that the average farm cost to the taxpayer is 44% higher than the average US household income of $46,000.

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