My letter to the NY Times re: No such thing as deposit insurance

Re: Grumbles Follow Plan to Raise Bank Capital
insuranceDear Sirs: This sentence from your excellent article about the Basel III capital requirements reveals the true source of the problem: “That there are bank capital rules at all stems from the issues a country faces when it provides deposit insurance.”  So why not just eliminate so-called “deposit insurance” and end the controversy?  Many programs call themselves “insurance” that are no such thing.  Deposit insurance is one of them.  One of the cardinal rules of any true insurance plan is that the insured has no control over what triggers benefits.  Think tornado insurance, for example.  But banks have tremendous control over what will trigger deposit insurance benefits.  First of all, it is not the deposits that one is insuring but the loans and securities.  When these default or lose value the bank cannot meet its deposit obligations.  Deposit insurance rewards banks for taking more risk in the hope of higher returns.  If it works out, the banks make lots of money.  If it doesn’t, deposit insurance relieves them of their liabilities.  This is a classic case of “moral hazard”, whereby the economic agent assumes more risk when all or part of his losses will be born by others.   End deposit insurance and end all manner of regulatory burden.  But then, what would all those regulators do?  Find a real job?  Naw.  Patrick Barron

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Nice thought, but that ship has sailed

Ship

From today’s Open Europe news summary:

In a full page FAZ op-ed, former ECB Chief Economist Otmar Issing argues that “Eurobonds would breach fiscal sovereignty” as they would lead to “a transfer of taxpayers’ money without democratic control.” He also advocates the “return of the no-bail-out principle” as “each country is in the end responsible for the consequences of its policy.” FAZ: Issing

Of course, I agree with Herr Issing, but the sovereignty and no bailout principles were breached long ago.  The EMU has found ways to funnel money from one country’s taxpayers to another, calling the transfer anything except what it is.  This tactic has been refined here in America where the US Agricultural Department has dozens of programs that subsidize farmers, but no one dare call any of the programs subsidies.  The only way to prevent these transfers is to scrap the agencies involved.  Patrick Barron

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If you can print money, you will print money

From today’s Open Europe news summary:

money skyTroika may show flexibility as Greece admits it cannot meet reform targets Greek Administrative Reform Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis admitted yesterday that it is unlikely that Greece will be able to meet its reform targets and civil servant job cuts in time for the latest bailout review. However, Kathimerini reports that a deal may still be agreed, with the EU/IMF/ECB Troika showing some willingness to be flexible. The pressure is on to reach an agreement today to allow for the next disbursement of bailout funds to be approved at Monday’s meeting of eurozone finance ministers. Otherwise, Greece could have to wait until September for the next tranche of funds. Kathimerini Kathimerini 2 Kathimerini 3 Kathimerini 4

It now appears that whether or not Greece or any other eurozone country in crisis actually meets its agreed upon reforms, the EU/IMF/ECB Troika will disperse money anyway.  Furthermore, the headline news is full of the crisis in Portugal, and all betting is that it will need another bailout.  Of course, both countries will get what they want!  We all must remember that no member of the Troika is using its own money; it is using money either entrusted to it by others or money that it can print in any quantities desired.  Unlike the case when dispersing one’s own personal money, the bureaucrats running the Troika have no concern over losing their personal wealth.  The same is true of the US Federal Reserve Bank’s quantitative easing program.  Despite hints by Fed Chairman Bernanke that the Fed may “taper” the program toward an eventual end, the political pressure will always prevail to ensure that the program never ends, as was predicted by Detlev Schlichter in his recent essay End of QE?–I don’t buy it.  Any “taper” toward less money printing must cause the demise of those businesses that can survive only with more money printing.  In the short run unemployment will rise, tax receipts will fall, businesses will default on bank loans, etc.  The short term consequences are all negative and will always trump the long term benefits.

This monetary rule predominates: If you can print money, you will print money.  Therefore, we must move to a new monetary regime where government cannot print money that it forces on the rest of society.  This means that legal tender laws must be revoked, so that the incentives will change for money producers to produce better and better money chosen by the free market.  Only then will governments be forced by their creditors to face reality.  Patrick Barron

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Opening the Cage to the Excess Reserve Monster

Re: Bank of England Softens Bank Liquidity Requirements

chasedCentral banks are doing their utmost to sustain the bubble economy.  Their main tool is expansion of the money supply.  But most new money is created by the banks via their lending operations, not outright central bank creation of reserves.  If the banks do not increase lending, then the newly created central bank reserves simply find their way onto banks’ balance sheets as excess reserves held at the central bank itself.

I have long predicted that the central banks will loosen their rules to entice the banking industry to increase lending, using their excess reserves as the tip of the upside down pyramid of new money creation.  This action by the Bank of England to soften its own liquidity rules is a step in that direction and an indication that it is not concerned that its action will cause the destruction of money’s purchasing power.  Patrick Barron

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EU bank bailout deal will fail

CardsRe: EU bank bailout deal

This deal almost ensures that depositors of funds greater than 100,000 euros will lose everything when the inevitable bank failures start cascading across Europe.  There are provisions for exceptions, so it is possible that the ECB will simply print more money.   For politically powerful banks and nations, this provision may be invoked.  Anyone who thinks that the same rules will apply EU-wide needs a crash lesson in real world politics.  It’s one thing to throw the Cypriots under the bus and another for the French.

Of course, this so-called deal never addresses the fundamental issue of why the banks got in trouble in the first place.  Therefore, there is no reason to believe that there will not be similar crises in the future.  No one wants to address the fundamental error of uniting fractional reserve banking with infinite reserves produced by central banks, which causes moral hazard and capital misallocations on a massive scale.  The money is gone; it has been gone for a long, long time, but the ECB has been papering over the problem with new reserves created out of thin air.  But now reality is reasserting itself.  One thing is clear–the least politically powerful will suffer most of the losses.  Patrick Barron

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The non-deflationary price of gold to support world trade

Gold CoinsI suggest that you listen to this interview with James Rickards.  Start at the 30 minute mark through the 36 minute mark.  Rickards explains in very easy to understand terms how the world could return to a gold standard.  He explains Winston Churchill’s error as Chancellor of the Exchequer after WWI in returning Great Britain to the gold standard at the pre-war pound-to-gold parity.  It is a wonderful history and monetary lesson.  The key point is that the world CAN return to a gold standard.  There is always enough gold to do so.  The only question is the gold price set by central banks.  Gold is the invariable factor.  So the price of gold would be determined by which monetary matrix central banks would use–the monetary base, M1, or M2–and the reserve percent, for example, 100% reserve or something less.  But please listen to Rickards.  His explanation is excellent.

Patrick Barron

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The madness of government intervention knows few bounds

EuroVigilante

By Andy Duncan

History continuously displays the hilarity and ineptitude of government interventions. However, every now and again even I am surprised by just quite how stupid and fatuous government ministers can be once they have sucked up the enervating Kool-Aid of state power.

For instance, in this morning’s Telegraph newspaper I discovered that the British government – in a land famous for rain-drenched umbrellas and cancelled village summer fêtes – has decided to cover 75,000 acres of ‘their’ territory in solar panel electricity ‘farms’, all to be paid for by everyone else. Once the farms are built with the aid of generous subsidies, much of that finding its way into the Luxembourg bank accounts of  all the sponsoring politicians and lobbyists, the taxpayers will then be fleeced again to pay these solar farms NOT to produce electricity in the summer, the only real time of year when these farms might actually be useful.

Confused? Just check out your own local government. I’m sure they’re being just as idiotic and personally greedy in all departments, mixed into a frothy bribe-drenched cocktail of malice, aggression, and arrogance.

Getting back to my own local bunch of vain corrupt fools, first we have the Stalinesque/Hitlerite zeal of a striding pygmy colossus:

“Greg Barker, the energy and climate change minister, has disclosed that it is his “ambition” for 20GW of energy to be produced by solar panels in 2020 – effectively a ten fold increase in the number of solar farms currently built or being planned.”

Then we have a dash of the usual Robespierrian/Napoleonesque insanity:

“The warning suggests that solar farms will, like wind farms, have to be paid not to produce electricity.”

Next up, we’re treated to some Lilliputian/Blefuscuan tin-pot jingoism, carefully choreographed with a smattering of pompous bureaucratic mandarinese:

“Addressing Intersolar, an industry conference in Munich, the minister said he was determined to make Britain “a hub for global solar firms” and said no country in Europe had “more potential for future solar deployment”. The expansion “ambition” comes as generous subsidies – ultimately added to household energy bills – are being offered to solar developers under the Government’s Renewables Obligation scheme.”

And then the incredible and remarkable coup de grâce:

“However the disclosure of the Government’s plans for such a large expansion of solar energy raises the possibility that solar farms will also have to be paid to shut down during the summer months, when they produce the most electricity.”

You might want to re-read that bit again. I had to.

Would that ever happen on the free market? To ask the question is to know the answer.

All of this madness is of course backed up by the one-world governmental tax-raising meme scam of ‘global warming’, on a planet where temperatures have been steadily dropping for a decade inside a highly-volatile interglacial period.

No doubt, as we enter the next overdue ice age – when what little sunshine remaining in Britain becomes increasingly interrupted by even more by grey skies and rain – if the tax farms of England, Scotland, and Wales are still ruled over by the thousand-year Mafia known as the British government, they’ll perhaps have covered every last inch of this island in useless solar panels just in time for all that wasted silver to be permanently covered in snow.

However, putting all of that aside, we must continue to let these clowns rule over us, of course, because without their angelic guiding hands we would be unable to have any roads.

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Detlev Schlichter doesn’t believe that Bernanke will end QE

Re:   End of QE?–I don’t buy it, by Detlev Schlichter

Press1520Another magnificent essay by Detlev Schlichter, author of Paper Money Collapse.  This short essay is a mini course in Austrian economics and capital theory and well worth ten minutes of your time.  Patrick Barron

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How regulations often protect government incompetence

Re: Godfrey Bloom on the proposed EU regulations on the credit rating industry

Although Godfrey Bloom, UKIP member of the European Parliament for Yorkshire and North Lincolnshire, exposes the real purpose behind the EU’s proposed regulations on the credit rating industry, his insights can be extended to many government regulations in any country. Many are disguised attacks upon free speech to protect government incompetence.  Godfrey has vast experience in finance, so he understands how credit agencies work or, at least, are supposed to work.  They must be completely independent of influence from the agencies they are rating.

Less that three minutes and well worth watching and contemplating.

Patrick Barron

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John Embry: ‘everyone should look at Zero Hedge’

Andy Duncan had the great privilege recently of speaking to John Embry, the Chief Investment Strategist at Sprott Asset Management. The interview is below:
[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70xrKV0n52I]

GoldMoney’s Andy Duncan talks to John Embry, Chief Investment Strategist at Sprott Asset Management (www.sprott.com), about the “Great Gold Takedown”, the road to hyperinflation, and the Orwellian nature of government economic information.

Along the way they discuss the possible financial fallout from the recent Bilderberg meeting and other clandestine conferences, good sources of truthful information for GoldMoney clients, and when western central banks might run out of precious metal.

They also touch upon black swans, how to remain motivated in the possible face of gold price suppression, and the realistic potential of future world monies based upon gold.

This podcast was recorded on 11 June 2013.

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